Model Predictions
| Model | New York Liberty | Orlando Miracle | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 36.1% | 63.9% | - | - |
| Bradley-Terry | 46.5% | 53.5% | - | - |
| Margin | 52.7% | 47.3% | - | - |
| Pythagorean | 52.5% | 47.5% | - | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 60.5% | 39.5% | - | - |
| Log Adjusted | 60.6% | 39.4% | - | - |
| Points Off/Def | 52.8% | 47.2% | - | - |
In progress: Orlando Miracle +12 so far (69-57); predictions are graded once the game is final. Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.