Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Sol | Indiana Fever | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 39.1% | 60.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 54.1% | 45.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 46.6% | 53.4% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 42.8% | 57.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 44.5% | 55.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 44.3% | 55.7% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 46.8% | 53.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Indiana Fever -2 (52-54). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Miami Sol
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sheri Sam * | 32 | 8-15 | 2-3 | 4-6 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Debbie Black * | 31 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Katrina Colleton * | 27 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Shantia Owens * | 25 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Marlies Askamp * | 24 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Sharon Manning | 16 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Kisha Ford | 13 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Kristen Rasmussen | 13 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Milena Flores | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Jameka Jones | 6 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Danielle McCulley * | 34 | 6-12 | 0-1 | 5-5 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 17 | - | - | |
| Monica Maxwell * | 31 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Rita Williams * | 28 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Jurgita Streimikyte * | 23 | 1-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 2 | - | - | |
| Gordana Grubin * | 21 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Alicia Thompson | 22 | 5-7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Stephanie White | 21 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - | - | |
| Chantel Tremitiere | 12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Texlin Quinney | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter