Model Predictions
| Model | Washington Mystics | Charlotte | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 56.8% | 43.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 74.5% | 25.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 63.4% | 36.6% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 71.9% | 28.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 78.5% | 21.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 78.5% | 21.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 67.0% | 33.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Charlotte -4 (74-78). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Washington Mystics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chamique Holdsclaw * | 38 | 5-11 | 0-1 | 7-10 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 22 | - |
| Vicky Bullett * | 37 | 7-12 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 16 | 15 | - |
| Murriel Page * | 32 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Nikki McCray * | 31 | 5-11 | 0-4 | 8-11 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 10 | - |
| Andrea Nagy * | 15 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Keisha Anderson | 24 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 13 | - |
| Markita Aldridge | 6 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Tausha Mills | 5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Heather Owen | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Tonya Massaline | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Beth Cunningham | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Charlotte
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dawn Staley * | 36 | 6-11 | 2-5 | 5-6 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 15 | - |
| Andrea Stinson * | 33 | 8-17 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 14 | - |
| Shalonda Enis * | 30 | 4-10 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Rhonda Mapp * | 24 | 1-8 | 0-3 | 4-6 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Tiffany Travis * | 14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Tracy Reid | 14 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Cass Bauer-Bilodeau | 13 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Charlotte Smith | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -2 | - |
| E.C. Hill | 11 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Summer Erb | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter