Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Wings | Seattle Storm | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 37.6% | 62.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 61.8% | 38.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 48.0% | 52.0% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 68.3% | 31.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 57.7% | 42.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 57.8% | 42.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 52.7% | 47.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Seattle Storm -4 (78-82). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Dallas Wings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wendy Palmer * | 37 | 14-21 | 0-2 | 4-5 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 32 | - | - | |
| Dominique Canty * | 30 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 5-12 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Elena Tornikidou * | 27 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Astou Ndiaye-Diatta * | 24 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - | - | |
| Claudia Neves * | 21 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Tamicha Jackson | 16 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Edwina Brown | 16 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 9-9 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Olympia Scott | 11 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Joy Holmes | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Oksana Zakaluzhnaya | 5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
Seattle Storm
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michelle Edwards * | 35 | 7-12 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Katrina Hibbert * | 32 | 4-9 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Sonja Henning * | 31 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Kamila Vodichkova * | 27 | 10-11 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 22 | - | - | |
| Stacey Lovelace * | 12 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Andrea Garner | 22 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Quacy Barnes | 17 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Robin Threatt-Elliott | 17 | 4-9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Charmin Smith | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Jamie Redd | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter