Model Predictions
| Model | Minnesota Lynx | Sacramento Monarchs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 30.6% | 69.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 54.3% | 45.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 45.0% | 55.0% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 47.3% | 52.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 52.3% | 47.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 52.3% | 47.7% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 48.8% | 51.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Sacramento Monarchs +8 (82-74). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Minnesota Lynx
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katie Smith * | 38 | 8-19 | 2-8 | 4-4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Kristin Folkl * | 34 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Betty Lennox * | 32 | 7-17 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 15 | - | - | |
| Keitha Dickerson * | 9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Marla Brumfield * | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - | - | |
| Grace Daley | 26 | 6-9 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Maylana Martin | 20 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - | - | |
| Kate Paye | 12 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Andrea Lloyd-Curry | 11 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Sonja Tate | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Shanele Stires | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Sacramento Monarchs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kedra Holland-Corn * | 35 | 6-13 | 2-5 | 3-4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 17 | - | - | |
| Yolanda Griffith * | 30 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 14 | - | - | |
| Ruthie Bolton * | 28 | 3-11 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Tangela Smith * | 25 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | - | - | |
| Ticha Penicheiro * | 10 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Stacy Clinesmith | 25 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 3 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Latasha Byears | 24 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Katy Steding | 11 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Lady Grooms | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - | - | |
| Cindy Blodgett | 4 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - |
* = starter