Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Sol | Orlando Miracle | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 29.5% | 70.5% | - | - |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.0% | 62.0% | - | - |
| Margin | 43.0% | 57.0% | - | - |
| Pythagorean | 36.9% | 63.1% | - | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 40.8% | 59.2% | - | - |
| Log Adjusted | 40.8% | 59.2% | - | - |
| Points Off/Def | 41.1% | 58.9% | - | - |
In progress: Orlando Miracle +8 so far (61-53); predictions are graded once the game is final. Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.