Model Predictions
| Model | Los Angeles Sparks | Indiana Fever | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 58.8% | 41.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 80.1% | 19.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 70.6% | 29.4% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 69.6% | 30.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 84.5% | 15.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 84.5% | 15.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 75.2% | 24.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Indiana Fever -9 (73-82). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Los Angeles Sparks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lisa Leslie * | 27 | 2-11 | 0-1 | 9-10 | 13 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 13 | - | - | |
| Clarisse Machanguana * | 26 | 5-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| DeLisha Milton-Jones * | 25 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Mwadi Mabika * | 23 | 8-13 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Ukari Figgs * | 23 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| La'Keshia Frett | 16 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Nicky McCrimmon | 16 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Allison Feaster | 15 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Vedrana Grgin Fonseca | 14 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Paige Sauer | 10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rita Williams * | 36 | 1-8 | 0-5 | 2-4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Monica Maxwell * | 35 | 9-18 | 4-8 | 7-8 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 29 | - | - | |
| Kara Wolters * | 28 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 4-8 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Stephanie White * | 21 | 1-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Jurgita Streimikyte * | 15 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Danielle McCulley | 25 | 4-7 | 0-2 | 5-7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 13 | - | - | |
| Gordana Grubin | 21 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Donna Harrington | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Texlin Quinney | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter