Model Predictions
| Model | Los Angeles Sparks | Washington Mystics | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 48.7% | 51.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 68.5% | 31.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 60.7% | 39.3% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 57.1% | 42.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 72.7% | 27.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 72.8% | 27.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 60.0% | 40.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Washington Mystics -2 (72-74). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Los Angeles Sparks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lisa Leslie * | 36 | 5-11 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 12 | - | - | |
| DeLisha Milton-Jones * | 34 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 10 | - | - | |
| Mwadi Mabika * | 26 | 4-16 | 1-7 | 3-4 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Tamecka Dixon * | 24 | 6-10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 13 | - | - | |
| Ukari Figgs * | 21 | 4-8 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Nicky McCrimmon | 18 | 3-4 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Allison Feaster | 14 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| La'Keshia Frett | 14 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Clarisse Machanguana | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Washington Mystics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chamique Holdsclaw * | 39 | 11-27 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 25 | - | - | |
| Vicky Bullett * | 37 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 6 | - | - | |
| Nikki McCray * | 35 | 7-18 | 4-9 | 5-7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 23 | - | - | |
| Andrea Nagy * | 35 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Murriel Page * | 27 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - | - | |
| Tausha Mills | 15 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Markita Aldridge | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter