Model Predictions
| Model | Sacramento Monarchs | Utah Starzz | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 36.2% | 63.8% | - | - |
| Bradley-Terry | 52.1% | 47.9% | - | - |
| Margin | 48.6% | 51.4% | - | - |
| Pythagorean | 57.9% | 42.1% | - | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 54.2% | 45.8% | - | - |
| Log Adjusted | 54.1% | 45.9% | - | - |
| Points Off/Def | 53.5% | 46.5% | - | - |
In progress: Utah Starzz +9 so far (89-80); predictions are graded once the game is final. Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.