Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Comets | Orlando Miracle | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 55.6% | 44.4% | - | - |
| Bradley-Terry | 74.7% | 25.3% | - | - |
| Margin | 76.3% | 23.7% | - | - |
| Pythagorean | 67.6% | 32.4% | - | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 91.5% | 8.5% | - | - |
| Log Adjusted | 91.6% | 8.4% | - | - |
| Points Off/Def | 79.2% | 20.8% | - | - |
In progress: Orlando Miracle -12 so far (58-70); predictions are graded once the game is final. Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.