Model Predictions
| Model | Portland Fire | Sacramento Monarchs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 22.8% | 77.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 27.7% | 72.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 36.9% | 63.1% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 37.3% | 62.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 36.1% | 63.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 36.2% | 63.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 34.8% | 65.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Sacramento Monarchs +16 (92-76). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Portland Fire
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sophia Witherspoon * | 25 | 5-13 | 5-7 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Tully Bevilaqua * | 23 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Sylvia Crawley * | 22 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 | - | - | |
| Stacey Thomas * | 21 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Vanessa Nygaard * | 16 | 4-5 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Alisa Burras | 20 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | - | - | |
| Lynn Pride | 18 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Michelle Marciniak | 16 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Tara Williams | 14 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - | - | |
| Michele Van Gorp | 12 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| DeMya Walker | 8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
Sacramento Monarchs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tangela Smith * | 28 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 10 | - | - | |
| Ticha Penicheiro * | 28 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 1 | - | - | |
| Kedra Holland-Corn * | 23 | 7-9 | 3-5 | 3-4 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Ruthie Bolton * | 21 | 5-10 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Yolanda Griffith * | 20 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 6-10 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 14 | - | - | |
| Latasha Byears | 17 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Katy Steding | 16 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Lady Grooms | 12 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 6-8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Cindy Blodgett | 12 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 2-4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Stacy Clinesmith | 9 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Rhonda Banchero | 8 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
* = starter