Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | Cleveland Rockers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 66.3% | 33.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 72.6% | 27.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 70.0% | 30.0% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 60.9% | 39.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 81.7% | 18.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 81.8% | 18.2% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 64.5% | 35.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Cleveland Rockers +13 (64-51). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandy Reed * | 38 | 9-16 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 19 | - | - | |
| Bridget Pettis * | 36 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | - | - | |
| Tonya Edwards * | 34 | 5-19 | 0-5 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Jennifer Gillom * | 32 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 9 | - | - | |
| Michelle Brogan * | 22 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Adrian Williams-Strong | 17 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Maria Stepanova | 5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Michelle Cleary | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Lisa Harrison | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Cleveland Rockers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eva Nemcova * | 32 | 5-15 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Rushia Brown * | 31 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Merlakia Jones * | 28 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Suzie McConnell Serio * | 28 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1-4 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Chasity Melvin * | 26 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 13 | - | - | |
| Ann Wauters | 16 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Mery Andrade | 12 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - | - | |
| Helen Darling | 10 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | - | - | |
| Vicki Hall | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter