Model Predictions
| Model | Tennessee | Vanderbilt | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 56.3% | 43.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 66.7% | 33.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 46.8% | 53.2% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 56.1% | 43.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 65.3% | 34.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 65.3% | 34.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 46.0% | 54.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Vanderbilt -5 (65-70). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.