Model Predictions
| Model | Old Dominion | Drexel | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 31.9% | 68.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 33.2% | 66.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 53.5% | 46.5% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 48.3% | 51.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 45.6% | 54.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 45.8% | 54.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 53.9% | 46.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Drexel +9 (61-52). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages; those weekly fits give Drexel, ESPN's listed home team, the home edge at this neutral site.