Model Predictions
| Model | Texas Tech | Baylor | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 57.8% | 42.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 69.4% | 30.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 61.7% | 38.3% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 58.5% | 41.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 85.2% | 14.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 86.0% | 14.0% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 59.6% | 40.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Baylor +6 (74-68). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.