Model Predictions
| Model | Kansas | Texas Tech | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 62.2% | 37.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 62.7% | 37.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 60.2% | 39.8% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 53.6% | 46.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 85.2% | 14.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 85.1% | 14.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 57.0% | 43.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Texas Tech -9 (56-65). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.