Model Predictions
| Model | Texas | Texas Tech | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 52.2% | 47.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 62.6% | 37.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 48.8% | 51.2% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 51.6% | 48.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 73.8% | 26.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 73.4% | 26.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 48.9% | 51.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Texas Tech -5 (71-76). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.