Model Predictions
| Model | George Mason | Drexel | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 33.1% | 66.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 44.9% | 55.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 42.3% | 57.7% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 52.3% | 47.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 61.2% | 38.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 61.3% | 38.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 40.5% | 59.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Drexel -2 (55-57). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.