Model Predictions
| Model | Dartmouth | Cornell | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 30.4% | 69.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 42.7% | 57.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 43.4% | 56.6% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 53.0% | 47.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 54.2% | 45.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 54.2% | 45.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 42.5% | 57.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Cornell -17 (53-70). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.