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Long Beach State 64
@
Cal Poly 76
2003-03-01

No player box score is stored for this game; the score is Sports-Reference's.

Model Predictions

Model Long Beach State Cal Poly Spread Result
Elo 15.3% 84.7% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 25.6% 74.4% - ✓
Margin 26.2% 73.8% - ✓
Pythagorean 32.1% 67.9% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 19.4% 80.6% - ✓
Log Adjusted 19.3% 80.7% - ✓
Points Off/Def 25.1% 74.9% - ✓

Actual: Cal Poly +12 (76-64). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.