Model Predictions
| Model | Milwaukee | Wright State | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 79.0% | 21.0% | - | โ |
| Bradley-Terry | 82.5% | 17.5% | - | โ |
| Margin | 62.5% | 37.5% | - | โ |
| Pythagorean | 66.0% | 34.0% | - | โ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 87.6% | 12.4% | - | โ |
| Log Adjusted | 87.6% | 12.4% | - | โ |
| Points Off/Def | 62.5% | 37.5% | - | โ |
Actual: Wright State -33 (65-98). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.