Model Predictions
| Model | Cal State Fullerton | Pacific | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 18.6% | 81.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 28.1% | 71.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 26.1% | 73.9% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 35.8% | 64.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 13.4% | 86.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 13.2% | 86.8% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 28.0% | 72.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Pacific -3 (52-55). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.