Model Predictions
| Model | American | Colgate | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 59.6% | 40.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 65.7% | 34.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 55.5% | 44.5% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 62.3% | 37.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 81.8% | 18.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 82.1% | 17.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 55.2% | 44.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Colgate +1 (60-59). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.