Model Predictions
| Model | Florida | Vanderbilt | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 80.6% | 19.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 82.4% | 17.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 66.3% | 33.7% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 62.7% | 37.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 90.7% | 9.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 90.8% | 9.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 64.2% | 35.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Vanderbilt -3 (74-77). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.