Model Predictions
| Model | Texas A&M | Texas Tech | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 16.5% | 83.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 33.0% | 67.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 22.5% | 77.5% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 39.1% | 60.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 16.1% | 83.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 15.5% | 84.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 25.0% | 75.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Texas Tech +1 (70-69). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.