Model Predictions
| Model | Michigan | Purdue | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 28.8% | 71.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.4% | 62.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 27.6% | 72.4% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 44.1% | 55.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 18.7% | 81.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 18.5% | 81.5% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 25.9% | 74.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Purdue -11 (67-78). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.