Model Predictions
| Model | Pittsburgh | Georgetown | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 68.2% | 31.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 79.1% | 20.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 57.9% | 42.1% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 53.6% | 46.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 83.9% | 16.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 83.8% | 16.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 56.7% | 43.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Georgetown -15 (67-82). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.