Model Predictions
| Model | Prairie View A&M | Jackson State | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 49.1% | 50.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 66.8% | 33.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 47.0% | 53.0% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 56.3% | 43.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 67.9% | 32.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 68.0% | 32.0% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 47.0% | 53.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Jackson State +5 (75-70). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.