Model Predictions
| Model | Cal Poly | Pacific | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 18.3% | 81.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 32.7% | 67.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 29.1% | 70.9% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 38.1% | 61.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 21.7% | 78.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 21.7% | 78.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 28.2% | 71.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Pacific -3 (64-67). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.