Model Predictions
| Model | Holy Cross | Colgate | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 77.0% | 23.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 84.3% | 15.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 74.3% | 25.7% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 72.1% | 27.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 97.0% | 3.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 97.1% | 2.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 73.8% | 26.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Colgate -1 (91-92). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.