Model Predictions
| Model | Jacksonville State | Lipscomb | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 78.8% | 21.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 84.2% | 15.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 60.5% | 39.5% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 66.1% | 33.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 82.5% | 17.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 82.7% | 17.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 59.0% | 41.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Lipscomb -24 (60-84). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.