Model Predictions
| Model | UCLA | Georgetown | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 25.9% | 74.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 33.1% | 66.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 26.0% | 74.0% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 37.4% | 62.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 16.5% | 83.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 16.2% | 83.8% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 23.0% | 77.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Georgetown -1 (70-71). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.