Model Predictions
| Model | Princeton | Cornell | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 80.1% | 19.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 77.0% | 23.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 77.3% | 22.7% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 76.4% | 23.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 97.6% | 2.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 97.7% | 2.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 73.2% | 26.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Cornell -18 (49-67). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.