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Utah State 64
@
Cal Poly 63
2003-02-08

No player box score is stored for this game; the score is Sports-Reference's.

Model Predictions

Model Utah State Cal Poly Spread Result
Elo 70.7% 29.3% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 74.9% 25.1% - ✓
Margin 60.7% 39.3% - ✓
Pythagorean 67.5% 32.5% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 87.6% 12.4% - ✓
Log Adjusted 87.6% 12.4% - ✓
Points Off/Def 60.1% 39.9% - ✓

Actual: Cal Poly -1 (63-64). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.