Model Predictions
| Model | Pennsylvania | Cornell | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 91.7% | 8.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 85.2% | 14.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 87.3% | 12.7% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 82.1% | 17.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 99.6% | 0.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 99.6% | 0.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 84.5% | 15.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Cornell -3 (67-70). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.