Model Predictions
| Model | Lehigh | Colgate | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 48.2% | 51.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 61.4% | 38.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 48.6% | 51.4% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 60.1% | 39.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 70.5% | 29.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 70.7% | 29.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 50.8% | 49.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Colgate +9 (77-68). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.