Model Predictions
| Model | Mississippi | Vanderbilt | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 62.3% | 37.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 64.7% | 35.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 45.4% | 54.6% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 57.6% | 42.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 65.6% | 34.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 65.4% | 34.6% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 43.4% | 56.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Vanderbilt +8 (76-68). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.