Model Predictions
| Model | Oregon State | UCLA | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 30.6% | 69.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 56.8% | 43.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 36.5% | 63.5% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 51.1% | 48.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 37.1% | 62.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 36.9% | 63.1% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 39.6% | 60.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: UCLA -4 (79-83). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.