Tennessee–Martin vs Murray State

Tennessee–Martin 70

Murray State 89

2003-02-01

No player box score is stored for this game; the score is Sports-Reference's.

Model Predictions

Model	Tennessee–Martin	Murray State	Spread	Result
Elo	16.6%	83.4%	-	✓
Bradley-Terry	35.8%	64.2%	-	✓
Margin	22.2%	77.8%	-	✓
Pythagorean	33.8%	66.2%	-	✓
Adjusted Efficiency	11.0%	89.0%	-	✓
Log Adjusted	10.7%	89.3%	-	✓
Points Off/Def	22.9%	77.1%	-	✓

Actual: Murray State +19 (89-70). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.