Model Predictions
| Model | Ohio | Marshall | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 23.9% | 76.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 42.4% | 57.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 31.8% | 68.2% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 36.1% | 63.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 28.5% | 71.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 28.7% | 71.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 29.5% | 70.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Marshall -2 (85-87). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.