Model Predictions
| Model | Savannah State | Lipscomb | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 39.6% | 60.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 55.9% | 44.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 24.8% | 75.2% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 18.6% | 81.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 12.1% | 87.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 12.0% | 88.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 21.8% | 78.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Lipscomb +23 (96-73). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.