Model Predictions
| Model | Yale | Cornell | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 56.4% | 43.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 69.9% | 30.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 63.5% | 36.5% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 64.0% | 36.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 88.6% | 11.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 88.9% | 11.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 59.5% | 40.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Cornell -29 (47-76). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.