Model Predictions
| Model | Marquette | Cincinnati | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 25.7% | 74.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 46.8% | 53.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 40.3% | 59.7% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 49.6% | 50.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 38.8% | 61.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 38.7% | 61.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 41.6% | 58.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Cincinnati -6 (76-82). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.