Model Predictions
| Model | Maryland–Eastern Shore | Howard | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 17.8% | 82.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 29.5% | 70.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 23.4% | 76.6% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 31.3% | 68.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 12.4% | 87.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 12.2% | 87.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 24.0% | 76.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Howard +7 (83-76). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.