Model Predictions
| Model | Colorado | Texas Tech | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 29.0% | 71.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.8% | 60.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 34.6% | 65.4% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 46.6% | 53.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 32.8% | 67.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 31.8% | 68.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 33.7% | 66.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Texas Tech +10 (66-56). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.