Model Predictions
| Model | Ohio State | Purdue | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 32.4% | 67.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.5% | 56.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 23.5% | 76.5% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 42.8% | 57.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 12.5% | 87.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 12.4% | 87.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 19.8% | 80.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Purdue +5 (70-65). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.