Model Predictions
| Model | Old Dominion | Drexel | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 30.4% | 69.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 33.6% | 66.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 36.6% | 63.4% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 50.7% | 49.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 56.1% | 43.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 56.3% | 43.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 34.9% | 65.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Drexel -3 (69-72). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.