Model Predictions
| Model | Oklahoma State | Texas Tech | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 45.7% | 54.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 56.2% | 43.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 39.3% | 60.7% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 50.8% | 49.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 65.6% | 34.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 64.5% | 35.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 39.1% | 60.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Texas Tech -9 (70-79). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.