Model Predictions
| Model | Long Beach State | Pacific | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 10.3% | 89.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 20.4% | 79.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 19.6% | 80.4% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 24.4% | 75.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 6.7% | 93.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 6.7% | 93.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 18.0% | 82.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Pacific +33 (93-60). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.