Model Predictions
| Model | Hofstra | Drexel | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 11.5% | 88.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 21.1% | 78.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 17.7% | 82.3% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 26.4% | 73.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 8.5% | 91.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 8.5% | 91.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 15.7% | 84.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Drexel +12 (78-66). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.